Sanders wins Michigan primary as Trump bounces back – as it happened

Surprise Michigan win boosts Sanders despite Clinton victory in Mississippi as Trump marches on, with Republicans also voting in Idaho and Hawaii

Updated 35m ago

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Tom McCarthy

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53m ago 05:51

Lauren Gambino

The “Hillary” signs were being ripped off the walls of R.U.B. BBQ Pub in Detroit, almost immediately after the AP projected that Bernie Sanders had won the Michigan primary, writes the Guardian’s Lauren Gambino:

Clinton’s staff sat-sad faced staring at the results were projected across the row of TVs hung above the bar, while the few supporters left at the primary watch party shook their heads in disbelief.

“This was a huge disappointment,” said Silvia Tineo-Perez, a volunteer with the Clinton campaign. “I can’t believe it.”

After a day spent knocking on doors, Tineo-Perez said she noticed a gender and generational gap between Clinton and Sanders. Still she ended the day feeling confident that Clinton would win the industrial state.

“This worries me,” Tineo-Perez said of Sanders’ win. “I was really afraid of that.”
Tineo-Perez, who is originally from Venezuela, said she is skeptical of revolutionary candidates who make big promises.

“I don’t think Bernie is Hugo Chavez. No, of course not! He wouldn’t go that far,” she said. “But he can’t do what he says he’s going to do. Free college? No. That’s not going to happen. He’s lying to the kids.”

US Congresswoman Brenda Lawrence, a Democrat from Michigan, said the loss in the state was a setback but she was confident this didn’t disrupt her path to the nomination.

“It’s a 50-50 delegate split,” Lawrence said. “We’re going to move on and learn from this. The people spoke. That’s where we are.”

In the back of the pub, the staffers gathered around a table and clinked glasses. “She will be our next president,” one staffer declared. “On to the next.”

1h ago 05:35

As we await the result of the Republican caucuses in Hawaii, here’s a summary of where things stand:

Vermont senator Bernie Sanders won a stunning upset in Ohio over former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, who had been projected to win the state by a polling average of 20 points. So much for Michigan polling.
Clinton did not slip in the delegate race owing in part to a big win in Mississippi. She’s up 1,220-571 delegates by AP’s count.
But the Democratic race felt rattled in its foundations, with Sanders refreshing his claim on leading a political movement of national scope. Michigan’s regional neighbors, Illinois and Ohio, vote next week. The looming Democratic battle appeared likely to fill multiple months.
It was a strong night for Donald Trump, who snapped up quick victories with healthy margins in Mississippi and Michigan. Trump invited Republicans to join his movement, guaranteeing a general election victory in November. He’s up 428-315 delegates on Cruz, by AP’s count.

— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT)March 9, 2016
Like I said today, Donald Trump still won't be the oh just pass me the scotch.

Texas senator Ted Cruz snagged a win in Idaho, where Trump was running a distant second.
Which brings us to Florida senator Marco Rubio, who had a terrible night. He failed to cleared thresholds to claim any delegates at all in Michigan and Mississippi and Idaho. Ohio governor John Kasich beat him in both “M” states.
Kasich claimed momentum off a third-place – it was almost second! – finish in Michigan. Elsewhere he was out of the running.
Sanders appears to have pulled off his winby performing better than expected in areas with a high concentration of African American voters.
“Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign,” Sanders said.

1h ago 05:26

Mona Chalabi

Initial indications of voter turnout appear to be positive but with some negative consequences, writes Guardian US data editor Mona Chalabi:

In Michigan, at least three voting precincts are reported to have run out of ballots, including in Flint. In Ingham County, everyone appears to have been able to vote before polls closed at 8pm but only thanks to municipal clerks who quickly began photocopying ballot forms when the shortage became apparent.

1h ago 05:17

Cruz wins Idaho

Hardly a voting night goes by anymore without a Ted Cruz win. This one’s no different– he’s just picked up Idaho, according to AP projections.

Rubio, meanwhile, appears to be trying to finish out of the delegates again.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict)March 9, 2016
Idaho has a 20% threshold for receiving delegates. Rubio currently at 18.4%. Wow, it can't get much more brutal for him.

2h ago 05:01

Sanders: 'we are a national campaign'

Here’s a statement from Bernie Sanders on his Michigan win, issued by his campaign:

I am grateful to the people of Michigan for defying the pundits and pollsters and giving us their support. This is a critically important night. We came from 30 points down in Michigan and we’re seeing the same kind of come-from-behind momentum all across America.

Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign. We already have won in the Midwest, New England and the Great Plains and as more people get to know more about who we are and what our views are we’re going to do very well.”

2h ago 04:56

Yeesh.

Sanders: Thank you, Michigan!

Updated at 4.57am GMT

2h ago 04:54

What does the Sanders victory in Michiganmean? It means the Democratic primary race goes on – likely for months. It means there’s no reason Sanders can’t win other rust belt states – and big states – including two that vote next Tuesday, Illinois and Ohio. It means the narrative of Sanders’ political revolution has dramatic new fuel, and that Clinton needs to find a new pitch to voters.

For Sanders, it likely means $$$:

— Charlie Mahtesian (@PoliticoCharlie)March 9, 2016
Forget the delegate math. Bernie's small-donor juggernaut is going to be minting money after a big industrial state win

2h ago 04:48

Cruz moves into second in Michigan

John Kasich half-proclaimed a second-place finish in Michigan earlier.

But Ted Cruz has passed him: with 91.8% reporting, it’s 24.7-24.3 Cruz. Trump’s at 36.8%.

Visit our full results page here.

2h ago 04:45

Read Guardian Washington bureau chief Dan Roberts on Sanders’ big win:

2h ago 04:42

Mona Chalabi

It might sound crazy but according to the Green Papers, 1,937 of the votes cast so far in Michigan are for extremely former Democratic candidate Martin O’Malley, writes Guardian US data editor Mona Chalabi:

Ok, that’s only 0.2% of the votes counted but it’s still surprising. The explanation is a simple one though: ballot papers were printed before O’Malley dropped out on February 1. And reprints are just too damn expensive. This is an issue that may well be apparent in several primaries to come and no matter how low the numbers are, it still represents a frustrating waste of people’s democratic say.

2h ago 04:38

Low whistle. Maybe there is something to the notion that political polling is imperfect:

2h ago 04:34